Prince Edward Island
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Dropdowns and Polls
CDNProjections Prince Edward Island Electoral Model
13-18-21
(45.87%)
(PC Maj: >99%)
3-6-10
(26.08%)
(GRN Maj: <1%)
1-2-7
(18.76%)
(LIB Maj: <1%)
0-1-2
(6.47%)
0-0-0
(2.82%)
(Tie: <1%)
Last Updated: April 8, 2025
Party Floor-Projection-Party Ceiling
Percent of the Vote
Chance at Forming Government
Vote percentages (within 5.60%) and Seat Ranges are correct 19 times out of 20
Cardigan
7
(52.31%)
1
(23.80%)
0
(13.31%)
0
(7.08%)
0
(3.50%)
Charlottetown
3
(40.86%)
2
(28.33%)
0
(21.87%)
0
(5.52%)
0
(3.43%)
Egmont
4
(40.19%)
1
(27.16%)
1
(22.18%)
1
(8.56%)
0
(1.91%)
Malpeque
4
(48.77%)
2
(32.12%)
0
(12.98%)
0
(3.76%)
0
(2.37%)
Map
Race for 14
Kensington-Mal
PC+47.45
(±21.67)
PC+47.45
(±21.67)
Morell-Donagh
PC+47.13
(±19.28)
PC+47.13
(±19.28)
George-Pownal
PC+46.27
(±18.66)
PC+46.27
(±18.66)
Montague-Kilmuir
PC+44.64
(±18.56)
PC+44.64
(±18.56)
Brackley-Hunter
PC+38.07
(±19)
PC+38.07
(±19)
Rustico-Emerald
PC+31.7
(±16.47)
PC+31.7
(±16.47)
Stanhope-Marsh
PC+30.56
(±20.05)
PC+30.56
(±20.05)
YYG Hillsborough
PC+29.27
(±16.47)
PC+29.27
(±16.47)
YYG Winsloe
PC+28.9
(±15.24)
PC+28.9
(±15.24)
Belfast-Murray
PC+27.2
(±15.15)
PC+27.2
(±15.15)
Evang-Miscou
PC+25.61
(±16.93)
PC+25.61
(±16.93)
Cornwall-Meadow
PC+16.23
(±14.68)
PC+16.23
(±14.68)
YYG Belvedere
PC+14.53
(±12.78)
PC+14.53
(±12.78)
Souris-Elmira
PC+14.16
(±14.91)
PC+14.16
(±14.91)
Alberton-Bloom
PC+10.86
(±16.73)
PC+10.86
(±16.73)
Summerside-Drive
PC+9.76
(±14.85)
PC+9.76
(±14.85)
Strat-Keppoch
PC+7.23
(±14.97)
PC+7.23
(±14.97)
Summerside-Wlmt
PC+6.38
(±16.9)
PC+6.38
(±16.9)
Tyne-Sherbrooke
Green-2.22
(±15.93)
Green-2.22
(±15.93)
YYG Brighton
Green-2.44
(±12.67)
Green-2.44
(±12.67)
O'Leary-Inverness
NDP-4.73
(±13.02)
NDP-4.73
(±13.02)
Borden-Kinkora
Green-11.68
(±17.23)
Green-11.68
(±17.23)
Mermaid-Strat
Green-14.62
(±17.57)
Green-14.62
(±17.57)
YYG West Royalty
Liberal-16.37
(±14.79)
Liberal-16.37
(±14.79)
YYG Victoria
Green-17.33
(±15.17)
Green-17.33
(±15.17)
New Haven-Point
Green-17.81
(±15.95)
Green-17.81
(±15.95)
Tignish-Palmer Rd
Liberal-32.15
(±19.7)
Liberal-32.15
(±19.7)
Bolded seat is the Tipping Point
Simulator
Simulate a Prince Edward Island election by changing the voting intentions in the first table
It is important to note that the simulator does not include all model shifts and will not be identical to my real projection