Alberta

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Regional Results

Squares Chart

Simulator

Dropdowns and Polls

CDNProjections Alberta Electoral Model

40-50-59 (47.66%)
(UCP Maj: 96%)
28-37-47 (40.41%) (NDP Maj: 4%)
0-0-0 (3.85%)
0-0-0 (3.82%)
0-0-0 (1.65%)
0-0-0 (1.34%)
0-0-0 (1.27%)

Last Updated: January 31, 2025
Party Floor-Projection-Party Ceiling
Percent of the Vote
Chance at Forming Government

Calgary

14 (44.11%)
13 (45.04%)
0 (10.84%)

Edmonton

20 (55.68%)
0 (31.31%)
0 (13.01%)

Rest of Alberta

36 (57.25%)
5 (30.82%)
0 (11.93%)

Map

Race for 44

Drumhell.-Stett.
UCP+59.11
(±10.24)
Rimbey-Rocky Mt.
UCP+54.9
(±9.77)
Taber-Warner
UCP+54.21
(±10.33)
Vermilion-Lloyd.
UCP+53.98
(±9.94)
Olds-Didsbury
UCP+50.62
(±9.72)
Central Peace
UCP+49.03
(±10.15)
GP-Wapiti
UCP+48.28
(±9.79)
Cardston-Siksika
UCP+46.45
(±9.16)
Bonnyville-Cold.
UCP+45.52
(±9.91)
Drayton Valley
UCP+44.02
(±9.58)
Innisfail-Sylvan
UCP+42.52
(±9.38)
Brooks-Med. Hat
UCP+31.79
(±8.2)
Lac Ste. Anne
UCP+33.39
(±9.13)
Livingstone-Mac.
UCP+35.84
(±9.07)
West Yellowhead
UCP+36.27
(±9.44)
Chester.-Strath.
UCP+36.55
(±8.93)
Highwood
UCP+36.64
(±9.4)
FMcM-Lac La Bic.
UCP+37.43
(±9.43)
FMcM-Wood Buf.
UCP+38.67
(±8.51)
Peace River
UCP+39.29
(±9.22)
Athabasca-Barr.
UCP+40.08
(±9.66)
Lacombe-Ponoka
UCP+40.35
(±9.07)
Maskwa.-Wetask.
UCP+31.13
(±8.9)
Camrose
UCP+30.5
(±7.99)
Grande Prairie
UCP+27.32
(±8.39)
Airdrie-East
UCP+25.44
(±9.04)
Cypress-Med. Hat
UCP+23.09
(±8.94)
Airdrie-Cochrane
UCP+20.41
(±8.93)
Lesser Slave Lake
UCP+19.19
(±8.81)
Calgary-SE
UCP+18.62
(±8.33)
Red Deer-North
UCP+16.85
(±8.08)
Calgary-Lough.
UCP+16.52
(±8.38)
Calgary-West
UCP+15.86
(±8.74)
Morinville-St. Al.
UCP+2.31
(±8.13)
Calgary-East
UCP+2.42
(±7.93)
Strathcona-Sher.
UCP+4.55
(±8.13)
Calgary-Fish Crk
UCP+9.93
(±8.49)
Calgary-Peigan
UCP+11.46
(±8.5)
Leduc-Beaumont
UCP+12.45
(±8.2)
Spruce-Stony
UCP+12.87
(±8.65)
Red Deer-South
UCP+13.49
(±8.64)
Calgary-Shaw
UCP+13.59
(±8.57)
Fort Sask.-Vegre.
UCP+13.62
(±7.81)
Calgary-Hays
UCP+13.99
(±8.55)
Calgary-NW
UCP+1.63
(±7.97)
Calgary-Bow
UCP+1.59
(±8.24)
Calgary-Cross
UCP+1.56
(±8.44)
Calgary-North
UCP+1.26
(±8.41)
Calgary-Glen.
UCP+0.94
(±8.47)
Calgary-Foothills
UCP+0.16
(±8.29)
Calgary-Acadia
NDP-0.32
(±8.43)
Calgary-Edge.
NDP-0.75
(±8.14)
Calgary-Elbow
NDP-0.86
(±7.21)
Lethbridge-East
NDP-1.31
(±8.47)
Calgary-Bedding.
NDP-2.52
(±8.3)
EDM-South
NDP-15.28
(±8.66)
Lethbridge-West
NDP-14.87
(±8.51)
Calgary-Currie
NDP-14.44
(±8.24)
EDM-Castle
NDP-13.69
(±7.52)
EDM-W Henday
NDP-13.57
(±7.84)
EDM-Decore
NDP-11.68
(±7.61)
EDM-SW
NDP-10.28
(±8.39)
Calgary-NE
NDP-9.48
(±8.58)
Sherwood Park
NDP-9.44
(±8.05)
Calgary-Klein
NDP-6.51
(±8.38)
Banff-Kananaskis
NDP-5.06
(±8.82)
Calgary-Falcon.
NDP-15.82
(±8.42)
Calgary-Varsity
NDP-16.41
(±8.63)
EDM-McClung
NDP-16.84
(±7.42)
EDM-Whitemud
NDP-18.52
(±8.02)
EDM-Beverly
NDP-18.72
(±8.14)
EDM-Manning
NDP-19.37
(±8.53)
Calgary-McCall
NDP-19.67
(±8.86)
EDM-Mill Woods
NDP-20.16
(±8.59)
EDM-NW
NDP-20.55
(±8.52)
St. Albert
NDP-21.1
(±8.88)
EDM-Ellerslie
NDP-21.45
(±8.67)
EDM-Strathcona
NDP-47.54
(±9.55)
EDM-City Centre
NDP-47.43
(±9.74)
EDM-Highlands
NDP-42.05
(±9.36)
EDM-Gold Bar
NDP-36.72
(±9.1)
EDM-Glenora
NDP-35.97
(±9.05)
EDM-Riverview
NDP-33.21
(±8.79)
EDM-Rutherford
NDP-29.03
(±9.03)
Calgary-Mt. View
NDP-28.23
(±8.63)
Calgary-Buffalo
NDP-26.64
(±9)
EDM-Meadows
NDP-21.55
(±8.18)

Bolded seat is the Tipping Point

Simulator

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