Manitoba
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Dropdowns and Polls
CDNProjections Manitoba Electoral Model
37-45-49
(59.52%)
8-12-19
(29.71%)
0-0-1
(6.10%)
0-0-1
(2.00%)
0-0-0
(1.60%)
0-0-0
(1.07%)
Last Updated: December 26, 2025
Party Floor-Projection-Party Ceiling
Percent of the Vote
CDNProjections Chance of Forming Government
(NDP Maj: >99%)
Last Updated: December 26, 2025
Chance at Forming Government
Winnipeg
31
(67.38%)
1
(21.19%)
0
(8.06%)
0
(1.28%)
0
(1.04%)
0
(1.04%)
Rest of Manitoba
14
(47.64%)
11
(42.57%)
0
(3.44%)
0
(3.15%)
0
(2.10%)
0
(1.11%)
Map
Simulator
Simulate a Manitoba election by changing the voting intentions in the first table
It is important to note that the simulator does not include all model shifts and will not be identical to my real projection