Yukon

Some elements on the page take some time to load; please be patient

Important Note: Yukon has undergone a redistribution, alongside not having non-party commissioned polls. On top of this, due to the wide range in riding populations, from less than 200 to over 2,000, this model is expected not to be as accurate as other ones on this site

Squares Chart

Simulator

Dropdowns and Polls

CDNProjections Yukon Electoral Model

6-11-14 (37.79%)
(YK Maj: 31%)
(YK Min: 47%)
1-5-10 (31.30%) (LIB Min: 5%)
2-5-10 (30.52%) (NDP Min: 1%)
0-0-0 (0.38%) (Tie: 16%)

Last Updated: January 31, 2025
Party Floor-Projection-Party Ceiling
Percent of the Vote
Chance at Forming Government

Map

Due to the redistribution, there is no updated shapefile at the moment. See the interactive map here

Race for 11

Lake Laberge
Yukon+40.01
(±18.59)
Copper South
Yukon+31.1
(±16.34)
Copper North
Yukon+27.64
(±15.14)
Watson Lake
Yukon+23.48
(±16.26)
Porter Creek Ctr
Yukon+16.59
(±13.85)
Porter Creek N
Yukon+16.28
(±13.21)
Kluane
Yukon+15.67
(±13.17)
Riverdale North
Liberal-2.63
(±12.55)
Riverdale South
Liberal-2.25
(±12)
Mountainview
NDP-1.12
(±9.96)
Mayo-Tatchun
NDP-0.66
(±11.96)
Whitehorse Wst
Yukon+0.57
(±12.52)
Southern Lakes
Yukon+2.96
(±12.96)
Marsh-Mount-Gold
Yukon+3.38
(±12.56)
Whisle Bend N
Yukon+11.54
(±14.69)
Porter Creek S
Liberal-2.8
(±12.1)
Whistle Bend S
Liberal-5.96
(±12.3)
Vunut Gwitchin
NDP-6.76
(±16.18)
Klondike
Liberal-11.43
(±13.47)
Whitehorse Ctr
NDP-22.87
(±14.18)
Takhini
NDP-33.4
(±16.99)

Bolded seat is the Tipping Point

Simulator

Simulate a Yukon election by changing the voting intentions in the first table
It is important to note that the simulator does not include all model shifts and will not be identical to my real projection
Also important to mention that swings have large effects due to the small size of districts in the territory.