Canada

CDNProjections Federal Electoral Model

153-179-203 (42.38%)

101-114-150 (35.83%)

22-30-34 (7.43%)

12-17-32 (9.88%)

1-3-3 (2.51%)

0-0-0 (1.42%)

0-0-0 (0.55%)

Last Updated: June 21, 2025
Party Floor-Projection-Party Ceiling
Percent of the Vote

CDNProjections Chance of Forming Government

(LIB Maj: 77%) (LIB Min: 23%)

Last Updated: June 21, 2025
Chance at Forming Government

Map

Simulator

Simulate a Federal election by changing the voting intentions in the first table
It is important to note that the simulator does not include all model shifts and will not be identical to my real projection