CDNProjections

Parti Quebecois lead by 19 seats over the Liberals, favoured to flip government from CAQ
Last Update: May 7, 2026

Liberals lead by 110 seats over the Conservatives, favoured to win a 5th government
Last Update: July 12, 2026

Progressive Conservatives lead by 25 seats over the NDP, favoured to win a 3rd government
Last Update: May 6, 2026

NDP lead by 33 seats over the Progressive Conservatives, favoured to win a 2nd government
Last Update: December 26, 2025

Progressive Conservatives lead by 4 seats over the Liberals, slightly favoured to win a 3rd government
Last Update: December 17, 2025

NDP lead by 31 seats over the Conservatives, favoured to win a 4th government
Last Update: October 24, 2025

United Conservative lead by 39 seats over the NDP, favoured to win a 3rd government
Last Update: July 7, 2025

Progressive Conservative lead by 25 seats over the Liberals, favoured to win a 4th government
Last Update: May 10, 2025

Liberal lead by 15 seats over the Progressive Conservatives, favoured to win a 2nd government
No Update Since Last Election

PC lead by 7 seats over the Liberals, favoured to win a 2nd government
No Update Since Last Election

Saskatchewan lead by 7 seats over the NDP, favoured to win a 6th government
No Update Since Last Election

Yukon lead by 8 seats over the NDP, favoured to win a 2nd government
No Update Since Last Election

Remain favoured to win over Holding a Second Referendum
Last Update: X X, 2026

Remain favoured to win over Independence
Last Update: X X, 2025

Sutcliffe favoured to win a 2nd term
Last Update: X X, 2026

Chow favoured to win a first full term
Last Update: X X, 2025