British Columbia
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Dropdowns and Polls
CDNProjections British Columbia Electoral Model
49-61-68
(44.71%)
23-30-41
(35.81%)
1-2-3
(8.71%)
0-0-0
(6.39%)
0-0-0
(3.02%)
0-0-0
(1.36%)
Last Updated: October 24, 2025
Party Floor-Projection-Party Ceiling
Percent of the Vote
CDNProjections Chance of Forming Government
(NDP Maj: 100%)
Last Updated: October 24, 2025
Chance at Forming Government
Fraser Valley
6
(48.76%)
0
(37.33%)
0
(6.39%)
0
(3.36%)
0
(3.21%)
0
(0.97%)
Interior/North
15
(44.52%)
9
(35.37%)
0
(9.00%)
0
(5.73%)
0
(3.44%)
0
(1.94%)
Metro Vancouver
37
(49.05%)
9
(37.78%)
1
(6.47%)
0
(6.45%)
0
(3.11%)
0
(1.15%)
Vancouver Island
15
(47.25%)
1
(18.22%)
0
(27.38%)
0
(3.50%)
0
(2.35%)
0
(1.30%)
Map
Simulator
Simulate a British Columbia election by changing the voting intentions in the first table
It is important to note that the simulator does not include all model shifts and will not be identical to my real projection
Due to the urgency of publication, the simulator is not available. Coming soon!