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CDNProjections Beaches-East York By-Election Model

Tanveer Shahnawaz 64.20% (99.9%)
Shannon Devine 19.62% (0.1%)
Jim Syrbos 12.26% (<0.1%)
Bruce Livesey 2.01% (<0.1%)
All Others 1.91% (<0.1%)

Percent of the Vote (Chance of Winning)

Last Updated: August 23, 2026

Beaches-East York - Historical Timeline of Projections

Beaches-East York - 200 Simulated Margins of the By-Election