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CDNProjections

CDNProjections North Vancouver-Capilano By-Election Model

Braeden Caley 49.93% (95.3%)
Stephen Curran 34.11% (4.7%)
Shelley Luce 6.84% (<0.1%)
Stephen Tweedale 6.75% (<0.1%)
All Others 2.37% (<0.1%)

Percent of the Vote (Chance of Winning)

Last Updated: August 23, 2026

North Vancouver-Capilano - Historical Timeline of Projections

North Vancouver-Capilano - 200 Simulated Margins of the By-Election