CDNProjections

CDNProjections Calgary-Shaw By-Election Model

Mike Derry 56.43% (97.3%)

Kyle Campbell 39.88% (2.7%)

Kyle Joseph 2.50% (<0.1%)

All Others 0.72% (<0.1%)

John Roggeveen 0.48% (<0.1%)

Percent of the Vote (Chance of Winning)

Last Updated: September 13, 2026